TOKYO : Japan’s real wages fell in January after two months of slight gains, data showed on Monday, days before the annual rounds of pay negotiations held each spring culminate at the country’s major firms.
Despite regular pay rising the most in more than 30 years and overtime pay increasing, lifting nominal wages, inflation at a two-year high dragged down real wages – the indicator policymakers see as key to achieving consumption-driven economic growth.
The Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its next policy review on March 18-19, as officials repeatedly cite the need to gauge the sustainability of wage growth after the central bank’s January rate hike.
Inflation-adjusted real wages, which determine consumers’ purchasing power, dropped 1.8 per cent in January from a year earlier, labour ministry data showed. The decline followed a revised 0.3 per cent rise in December and 0.5 per cent gain in November.
The consumer inflation rate the ministry uses to calculate real wages, which includes fresh food items but not rent costs, rose to 4.7 per cent year-on-year – the highest reading since January 2023.
Regular pay, or base salary, rose 3.1 per cent in January following December’s revised 2.6 per cent increase and marking the biggest jump since 1992, the data showed.
Overtime pay, a barometer of corporate activity strength, also jumped 3.1 per cent, after a revised 0.8 per cent gain in December.
Special payments, mainly made up of volatile one-off bonuses, were down 3.7 per cent. Total cash earnings, or nominal pay, rose 2.8 per cent to 295,505 yen ($2,004) on average, slowing from December’s revised 4.4 per cent rise, due largely to the drop in special payments.
Japan’s largest labour group last week said its member unions were demanding an average 6.09 per cent pay hike, their boldest claim in more than 30 years.
In Japan, annual wage talks between management and labour unions conclude around mid-March among major firms, setting a standard for the salary negotiations of non-unionised workers and smaller enterprises.
The effect of these annual spring talks typically begins to show up in wage statistics for April or later, according to a labour ministry official.
($1 = 147.4300 yen)